Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.001390 0.001552 0.001714 0.001887 0.002066 0.002247 0.002442
2025-10-05 0.001138 0.001373 0.001614 0.001879 0.002159 0.002446 0.002761
2025-10-12 0.000947 0.001237 0.001542 0.001884 0.002254 0.002637 0.003063
2025-10-19 0.000771 0.001099 0.001456 0.001865 0.002312 0.002783 0.003311
2025-10-26 0.000624 0.000980 0.001379 0.001845 0.002364 0.002917 0.003541
2025-11-02 0.000499 0.000874 0.001309 0.001826 0.002411 0.003039 0.003756
2025-11-09 0.000399 0.000787 0.001252 0.001817 0.002464 0.003165 0.003969
2025-11-16 0.000318 0.000716 0.001208 0.001818 0.002523 0.003294 0.004184
2025-11-23 0.000250 0.000652 0.001169 0.001820 0.002581 0.003419 0.004392
2025-11-30 0.000218 0.000634 0.001183 0.001884 0.002708 0.003619 0.004680
2025-12-07 0.000164 0.000576 0.001143 0.001878 0.002753 0.003725 0.004863
2025-12-14 0.000106 0.000502 0.001076 0.001838 0.002754 0.003781 0.004987
2025-12-21 0.000066 0.000457 0.001061 0.001878 0.002872 0.003992 0.005313
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000394 0.001016 0.001881 0.002947 0.004157 0.005592
2026-01-04 0.000005 0.000341 0.000981 0.001894 0.003033 0.004335 0.005886
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000279 0.000926 0.001879 0.003083 0.004471 0.006132
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000223 0.000873 0.001862 0.003130 0.004601 0.006370
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000174 0.000822 0.001845 0.003174 0.004727 0.006601
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000134 0.000780 0.001837 0.003228 0.004862 0.006841
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000103 0.000746 0.001838 0.003290 0.005005 0.007091
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000076 0.000716 0.001841 0.003353 0.005149 0.007338
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000069 0.000728 0.001905 0.003493 0.005383 0.007690
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000046 0.000695 0.001900 0.003544 0.005509 0.007915